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DRAFT 2008 - STATE-BY-STATE PREVIEW
FLORIDA

2008 FOLLOW LIST

OVERVIEW: There will be no shortage of Florida players drafted in the first round this year, with as many as seven players capable of hearing their name called in the first 30 picks, with a couple more looking at potential comp-round selections.

The biggest story in the state this spring has been Florida State catcher Buster Posey, who is on the short list to be selected by the Tampa Bay Rays with the first pick overall and thus become the first Floridian to be the top pick since Miami’s Pat Burrell in 1998. Posey’s development from a high school pitcher to freshman shortstop to the top catching prospect in the country has been a unique progression but it’s been the Georgia native’s development with the bat, as much this spring as his continued improvement behind the plate, that has fueled the No. 1 overall pick speculation.

The University of Miami will fill out a healthy portion of the top of the draft all by itself, as befits the No. 1-ranked college team in the country. First baseman Yonder Alonso and second baseman Jemile Weeks have formed the best right-side infield combo in the country and should both go in the first round. The two big surprises for the Hurricanes have been center fielder Blake Tekotte and righthanded closer Carlos Gutierrez, both of whom could go as early as the second round.

No one was sure what would be the fate of junior college baseball after the draft rules were changed last year to eliminate the draft-and-follow process, but the answer has been very clear in Florida. There has never been more talent in the state’s junior college ranks, in terms of both depth and quality, high-velocity pitching. PG Crosschecker has 14 Florida junior college players slotted to be picked in the first 10 rounds of the draft, with many others potentially on the cusp. Indian River righthander Brett Moorhouse is the clear No. 1 JC prospect in the state, despite being a relative unknown at the beginning of the spring.

The theme in the Florida high school ranks this spring focused on the lack of signable talent in the class overall, especially in the middle part of the state where only Sarasota High shortstop/righthander Casey Kelly really stood out and elevated his draft stock. One veteran area scout made the comment at the beginning of May, that “It’s not that the top high school players have played badly, they just haven’t improved as much as you’d have hoped. We have a lot of fifth- to seventh-round types and you just can’t sign many Florida high school players in that area.”

National attention has been focused on the powerhouse American Heritage High team all spring, led by first baseman/lefthander Eric Hosmer. That talent laden squad, which could yield as many as six or seven draft picks (the draft record for most players from one high school is six), hasn’t disappointed as it started the year No. 1 and held that ranking in mid-May. Hosmer has firmly solidified his standing at the top of the draft with his huge power and has even given scouts a bit extra to think about, touching 98 mph off the mound as well.

STRENGTH: First-round level talent, junior-college depth.
WEAKNESS: Depth of signable high school talent.
OVERALL RATING (1-to-5 scale): 4.

Best Out-of-State Prospect, Florida Connection: David Adams, 2b, U. of Virginia (Attended high school in Margate).
Top 2009 Prospect: Mychal Givens, ss-rhp, H.B. Plant HS, Tampa.Top 2010 Prospect: A.J. Cole, rhp, Oviedo HS.

Highest Pick, Draft History: Chipper Jones, ss, The Bolles School, Jacksonville (1990, Braves/1st round, 1st pick); Alex Rodriguez, ss, Westminster Christian HS, Miami (1993, Mariners/1st round, 1st pick); Paul Wilson, rhp, Florida State U. (1994, Mets/1st round, 1st pick); Pat Burrell, 1b, U. of Miami (Phillies, 1998/1st round, 1st pick).
Highest Pick, 2006 Draft: Chris Marrero, 3b, Monsignor Pace HS, Hialeah (Nationals/1st round, 15th pick).
Highest Pick, 2007 Draft: Matt LaPorta, 1b, U. of Florida (Brewers/1st round, 7th pick).

Best College Team: Miami.
Best Junior College Team: Chipola.
Best High School Team: American Heritage, Plantation.

TOP PROSPECTS / By David Rawnsley

GROUPS (College, Junior College, High School)
1 Premium-round draft (Rounds 1-3)
2 High-round draft (Rounds 4-10)
3 Mid-round draft (Rounds 11-25)

GROUP ONE
Rank Player Pos. Class B-T HT WT College Hometown Prev. Drafted B’date
1. Buster Posey C Jr. R-R 6-2 200 Florida State Leesburg, Ga. Angels ’05 (50) 3-27-87
SCOUTING REPORT (3/1): Originally recruited to Florida State as a pitcher, Posey spent his freshman year with the Seminoles as a shortstop only to move behind the plate as a sophomore. He added closer responsibilities to his repertoire this spring as a junior. His ability to adapt easily to such diverse positions speaks volumes about his athletic ability, makeup and feel for the game, though he still is working on some of the finer points of catching. Scouts said Posey was easily the best in the Cape Cod League last summer at catching, blocking and throwing, and the one catcher with above-average arm strength. He has on-line carry on his throws and unloads the ball quickly. His throws are a consistent 1.85 to 1.87 to second base. The most significant area he needed to improve from last summer was his footwork and he largely accomplished that in the fall at Florida State. He also became more accomplished receiving balls better down in the zone. Though he has limited raw power, Posey has a contact-oriented approach and hits to all fields with wood. He made significant strides at the plate in the second half of the Cape Cod League season as he used his hands more efficiently while eliminating his shoulders from his swing. He batted .281-3-19 last summer after hitting .382-3-65 with 21 doubles in the spring at Florida State.—ALLAN SIMPSON
UPDATE (5/15): Posey enjoyed a breakout season, ranking among NCAA Division I leaders in many hitting categories while batting .469-16-66 with 43 walks and only 17 strikeouts (through May 15). He has also continued to polish his defensive skills behind the plate. There has been plenty of discussion about the home-state Tampa Bay Rays selecting Posey with the first pick in the draft. If you want a solid comparison for Posey, think of North Carolina’s B.J. Surhoff, a catcher/shortstop who was the first pick in the 1985 draft.—DAVID RAWNSLEY
 


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