PERFECT GAME CROSSCHECKER'S TOP TEN LIST
WEEK 40: 10/20/08 - 10/26/08
Braves Favored To Repeat as Champions
BY DAVID RAWNSLEY
Thursday October 23, 2008
JUPITER, Fla.—It’s apparent that there are only a handful of teams that come to the World Wood Bat Association fall championship with a realistic expectation of winning. A majority of the 80 teams that are entered are thrilled just to win one of the 16 pools and make the playoffs. Most will do their best to achieve that, but winning 7-8 games in four days is beyond the capability of most rosters.

While winning is important, the primary motivating factor for most teams in Jupiter is the opportunity for their players to be seen and scouted by the hundreds of scouts and college recruiters that are drawn to the event. No tournament anywhere will impact future baseball drafts more than the WWBA fall classic, and a vast majority of the top high school prospects in the draft classes of 2009 and 2010 are in attendance.

There is more high-end talent concentrated on some rosters than others, and perhaps 15-20 teams come to Florida in October thinking that they can win the entire thing. The approach of those teams is a bit different when it comes to setting lineups and pitching rotations.

There are two basic types of teams that compete in Jupiter.

One is the top-level, select team which has a core of players who play together all summer and in many cases during the fall, too. When it is extended an invitation to play in Jupiter or earns a spot by winning a qualifying tournament, almost all these teams supplement their roster of established players with talented players from their geographic area. Invariably, most of these teams add pitching whenever possible in order to be competitive at this high level.

The other type of team in Jupiter is the All-Star Team or Scout Team. These teams are assembled specifically for high-profile events like Jupiter and the players are brought in from all different locations. They have the advantage of being a fantasy-like roster of top prospects whose individual talents are impressive, but such teams are often at a disadvantage because most of the players have never played together before and baseball is, after all, a team game. It often takes these teams a game or two to mesh, and with a roster of diverse players a team also runs the risk of having players who might not be in the best of baseball shape—particularly for a highly-competitive event like this.

History shows that both types of teams have won in Jupiter. All-Star assembled teams have won five Jupiter titles, including the last two (Reds Scout Team in 2006, Braves Scout Team in 2007). More conventional travel teams have won four Jupiter titles, including in 2005 when the two-time champion East Cobb Astros and Chet Lemon’s Juice shared the title when rain washed out the championship game. The Braves Scout Team defeated the Orlando Scorpions, a club team, in the final a year ago.

In handicapping the top 10 teams for this year’s tournament, which begins Thursday and continues through Monday, the pre-championship favorite is the Braves Scout Team—a loose extension of the same organizing center that put together the last two Jupiter champions.

But the Braves are by no means the prohibitive favorites they arguably were the past two seasons. Those who might be rooting for a more conventional travel/select team to win the tournament can pin their highest hopes on such team as California’s ABD Bulldogs, North Carolina’s Dirtbags and East Cobb Astros.

Here’s how we see the 10 teams that have the best chance to win this year’s tournament (full team rosters can be found elsewhere on the Perfect Game/PG Crosschecker site):

1. Braves Scout Team
Top Players:
C Bryce Harper, LHP Tyler Matzek, SS Deven Marrero, RHP Shelby Miller, 1B-RHP Matt Hobgood, LHP Chad James, RHP Peter Tago, C Cameron Garfield, C Andrew Susac, SS Christian Lopes.
Strengths: The Braves have 16 pitchers on their roster and all are potential draft-type prospects, including several possible first-rounders. With multiple pitchers throwing every game, they’ll be fresh and will give opponents multiple looks. The position players are almost secondary by comparison, but scoring runs shouldn’t be an issue either. The Braves four catchers are so talented that will play all over the field when not catching, but all can hit, especially Harper and Garfield.
Potential Weakness: When you’re throwing three pitchers in every game, you never know when one might come up short and put your team at a disadvantage—particularly when wood bats are used and low-scoring games are common. The Braves roster is very thin in position players, especially outfielders.

2. Texas Scout Team Yankees
Top Players:
C Luke Bailey, OF Everett Williams, OF Randal Grichuk, SS J.J. Albobelli, 3B Jake Miller, 2B Stephen Bruno, OF Todd Glaesmann, RHP Jackson Taillon, RHP Garrett Gould.
Strengths: The TST starting lineup measures up with any team in Jupiter and an argument can easily be made that it’s the most complete, from top to bottom. And while the Yankees are a true scout team that was assembled for this event, the roster features a core of Texas-based prospects who know each other well and have played together on other teams at times in the past.
Potential Weakness: Like putting together a fantasy team, you decide what your priorities are. The Texas Scout Team has depth in position players, while the Braves Scout Team has depth in pitching. If form holds and the two teams reach the final, it may come down to Pitching vs. Hitting winning out.

3. ABD Bulldogs (Riverside, Calif.)
Top Players:
3B Matt Davidson, RHP-1B Brooks Pounders, 2B David Nick, SS Jiovanni Miers, RHP Chad Thompson, 1B-LHP K.C. Hobson, RHP Gabe Encinas, C Jake Hernandez.
Strengths: The Bulldogs are going to score runs and have the offensive potential to score a lot of runs. It wouldn’t be surprising to see them lead the event in home runs, with the powerful Davidson and Pounders leading the way. There are a number of 2010 pitchers who have the talent to excel—if they can handle the pressure of facing deep lineups of older, more experienced hitters.
Potential Weakness: Does ABD have the pitching depth to keep running out quality starters in each round of the playoffs? The team’s lineup is also very righthanded and the big power guys are all long swing/get-the-hands extended types.

4. Dirtbags (North Carolina)
Top Players:
OF Brian Goodwin, 3B Wil Myers, SS Levi Michaels, C Michael Ohlman, C Matt Roberts, RHP Nick McBride, RHP Chris Munnally, RHP Ryan Heuler.
Strengths: This should be the Dirtbags’ top offensive team ever. The team has a good balance of on-base and power types, and two studs in the middle of the order in Goodwin and Myers. The pitching staff is very deep and should have fresh arms all the way through to a potential championship-game appearance.
Potential Weakness: The Dirtbags are in a very difficult pool and will have to play well just to get to the playoffs on Sunday afternoon. Will that derail or emotionally-tax them, or just toughen their confidence?

5. East Cobb Astros (Marietta, Ga.)
Top Players:
C-RHP Austin Maddox, OF Drew Steckenrider, 3B Miles Head, RHP-3B Stetson Allie, RHP-SS Kaleb Cowart, OF Trey Griffin, 2B Zach Alvord, SS Michael Broad.
Strengths: The Astros will have ultra-fast outfielders at the top of the batting order, outstanding defensive players in the middle of the field and big power on the corners. They will score runs in bunches and their defense will be top-notch.
Potential Weakness: In the past, you could scan the East Cobb roster and see first-rounders like Brett DeVall, Zeke Spruill and Josh Smoker lined up to start games in the playoffs. Those kind of arms aren’t so obvious this year.

6. Kansas City Royals Scout Team
Top Players:
OF Levon Washington, OF Brian Ragira, SS Jacoby Jones, SS Matt Lipka, RHP Robert Aviles, LHP Jake Eliopoulos, RHP Madison Younginer.
Key Strengths: The Royals are very athletic in the middle of the field and have well above-average team speed, especially with Washington and Ragira at the top of the order. Pitching depth will not be a problem at all, as well.
Potential Weakness: The Royals are young, with most of their top players being 2010 prospects who will be appearing on the big stage for the first time. That may be an even bigger negative, given their lack of experience playing together.

7. Ohio Warhawks
Top Players:
1B Jeff Malm, 3B Kris Bryant, SS Marcus Littlewood, 3B-RHP Brooks Hall, C Stefen Sabol, RHP Mike Dedrick, LHP Tyler Skaggs.
Key Strengths: Malm and Bryant, two top Nevada products, give the Warhawks a middle-of-the-order power presence that has the potential to match any team in the event. Though both are 2010 products, Sabol and Littlewood also give the Warhawks a strong middle-of-the-field presence at the two most important defensive positions.
Potential Weakness: The Warhawks roster includes players from 12 states and just getting them to Jupiter, and to the right field at the right time may be a logistical challenge. They will have to jell quickly.

8. Dallas Tigers
Top Players:
SS Chad Kettler, C Jonathan Walsh, OF Jacob Morris, 1B-LHP Colton Cain, OF Chase Durham.
Key Strengths: The Tigers play together as a team year around, so should be more fluid and cohesive than some of the all-star squads assembled just for the event. Kettler and Cain are two of the top “performance” players in the country and the Tigers middle-of-the-field players are all top defenders.
Potential Weakness: The Tigers don’t have any big-name pitchers, although they appear to have sufficient depth to win their pool and move into the playoffs. They could be susceptible to good righthanded pitchers as all their top hitters are switch-hitters who are much better from the right side.

9. Diamond Devils (South Carolina)
Top Players:
OF Daniel Aldrich, SS Chris Owings, RHP Drew Cisco, RHP Greg Harrison.
Key Strengths: The Diamond Devils always seem to overachieve as a team, playing above their individual-tool/skill levels. They play outstanding defense and their pitchers pound the strike zone. They easily led the WWBA 17-and-under summer championship in scoring in July, led by Aldrich, the tournament MVP.
Potential Weakness: Do the Devils have the raw talent to match up against the bigger, higher-profile teams and their Aflac-dominated lineups?

10. All-American Prospects (Florida)
Top Players:
SS-RHP Yordy Cabrera, 3B Nick Castellanos, 2B Cody Dent, LHP Austin Perez, C Cody Ross.
Key Strengths: All-American Prospects are coming off a convincing sweep of the WWBA Underclass Championship two weeks ago in Fort Myers, Fla., where their pitching staff allowed two runs in eight games, including none in four playoff games. Cabrera and Castellanos are high-talent/high-performance players who should excel against the higher level of competition.
Potential Weakness: The pitching staff that was so impressive against younger hitters may not have the quality stuff to do the same against the top teams in this championship.
Ten Players to Watch in Jupiter
BY DAVID RAWNSLEY
Wednesday October 22, 2008
JUPITER, Fla.—Assembling a raw list of the Top 10 prospects attending this week’s World Wood Bat Association Fall Championship would be a relatively easy task. Take maybe the top seven from the 2009 class, the top couple from 2010 and one from 2011, and line them up. They’ve all been heavily scouted before, so it wouldn’t be too challenging to assemble them in a rough order.

In a simple format, such a list might look like this (based on PG Crosschecker rankings and submitted rosters for the WWBA tournament):

1. Bryce Harper, c, Las Vegas (Nev.) HS (2011)
2. Tyler Matzek, lhp, Capistrano Valley HS, Mission Viejo, Calif. (2009)
3. Mychal Givens, rhp-ss, H.B. Plant HS, Tampa (2009)
4. Austin Maddox, c, Eagle’s View Academy, Jacksonville (2009)
5. Matt Davidson, 3b, Yucaipa (Calif.) HS (2009)
6. A.J. Cole, rhp, Oviedo HS, Winter Springs, Fla. (2010)
7. Keyvius Sampson, rhp, Ocala Forest HS, Ocala, Fla. (2009)
8. Yordy Cabrera, ss-rhp, Lakeland (Fla.) HS (2010)
9. Shelby Miller, rhp, Brownwood (Texas) HS (2009)
10. Luke Bailey, c, Troup County HS, LaGrange, Ga. (2009)

But if we’re trying to identify 10 players who might make the biggest impact from Thursday through Monday in the 80-team WWBA championship, listing players simply on the basis of raw, draftable talent might not be appropriate. After all, this is a team championship, not a showcase.

So here’s our take on 10 players who might be difference-makers this weekend—not necessarily down the road. In other words, here are our 10 pre-tournament favorites to win the MVP award: 

1. Bryce Harper, c-3b, Braves Scout Team. Harper, the top prospect in the 2011 draft class, may not even catch much on a Braves roster that includes Tucker Barnhart (Brownsburg, Ind.), Cameron Garfield (Murrieta Valley, Calif.) and Andrew Susac (Roseville, Calif.), three potential high-round catching prospects in the 2009 class. But Harper will play some third base, perhaps DH and he’ll definitely hit. How his phenomenal showcase tools translate to game action at this level of competition will be interesting to watch.

2. Brooks Pounders, rhp-1b, ABD (Calif.) Bulldogs. ABD used Pounders (Riverside, Calif.) as an all-purpose reliever at the WWBA summer championship in Marietta, Ga., in July and the team’s lack of consistent pitching meant that he was used frequently. He’ll also bat next to power-hitting Matt Davidson in the ABD order, giving the Bulldogs the most lethal 3-4 punch in the tournament.

3. Brian Goodwin, of, Dirtbags. The North Carolina-based Dirtbags often fall just short in major national-level tournaments because they never seem to have an offensive center piece—just as ABD can’t quite seem to get over the hump because of a lack of dominant pitching. Goodwin (Rocky Mount, N.C.) might be the most talented offensive player the Dirtbags have ever put on the field—and, if he isn’t, third baseman Wil Myers (Thomasville, N.C.) could be. Both are fringe first-rounders for the 2009 draft. If either Goodwin or Myers makes a run at the MVP award, it will bode well for the Dirtbags chances.

4. Luke Bailey, c, Texas Scout Team Yankees. Some scouts thought Bailey had the best summer season of any high school prospect in the 2009 class—and he’s moved right to the top of an unbelievably-talented group of senior catchers. He ranks right with Austin Maddox (see above). How Bailey hits and manages a formidable Texas Scout Team pitching could determine if that team will challenge for the championship.

5. Mychal Givens, rhp-ss, Winning Inning. Givens is the top-ranked two-way talent in the country and such versatility is at a premium in an event like Jupiter, where the winning team is normally required to play eight games in four days. Givens will impact games on the mound, on defense and at the plate. He’ll be joined in the Winning Inning (Fla.) lineup/pitching rotation by Keyvius Sampson, another top two-way talent who could have just as big an impact.

6. Yordy Cabrera, ss-rhp, All-American Prospects. See Mychal Givens above. Cabrera is the Givens-equivalent of the 2010 class, only with more pop in his bat. He was the dominant player for the champion All-America Prospects at the 65-team WWBA Fall Underclass Championship two weeks ago in Fort Myers, Fla.

7. Austin Maddox, c-rhp, East Cobb Astros. It’s rare for the Astros to go “outside the family” for top talent, so when Maddox’ name appeared on the East Cobb roster it was a significant addition. No one comes more talented than Maddox, especially if he can contribute his 94-mph fastball to an unusually shallow East Cobb pitching staff.

8. Dan Aldrich, of, Diamond Devils. Aldrich (Mt. Pleasant, S.C.) doesn’t quite compare as a prospect to most of the other names on this list as he ranks only No. 70 on PG Crosschecker’s ranking of the top high school seniors. But the lefthanded-hitting slugger has always hit at WWBA events, and put on one of the top performances in WWBA history in leading South Carolina’s Diamond Devils to the 2008 WWBA 17-and-under summer championship.

9. Colton Cain, 1b-lhp, Dallas Tigers. Scouts may focus more on the talented Coppell (Texas) High trio of shortstop Chad Kettler, outfielder Jacob Morris and catcher Jonathan Walsh, all potential top three-round picks next June. But Cain’s performance on both sides of the ball will likely do more to dictate the Tigers success in the tournament. The big Waxahachie, Texas, lefthander is one of the top performance players in the country.

10. Tyler Matzek, lhp, Braves Scout Team. This is more of a hedge pick as it is pretty unlikely that one pitcher on an absurdly-deep 15-plus man Braves pitching staff will have a special impact on the championship. A year ago, the Braves used 17 pitchers in running the table. But Matzek’s two chief competitors for top high school pitcher on the 2009 prospect lists, lefthander Matt Purke (Spring, Texas) and righthander Jacob Turner (St. Charles, Mo.), are among the few projected first-rounders not scheduled to be in Jupiter. An especially strong performance by Matzek could shake up the top of the rankings.

2008 WWBA Underclass Top 10
BY DAVID RAWNSLEY
Tuesday October 21, 2008
FORT MYERS, Fla.—Many of the nation’s top prospects in the 2010 and 2011 high school draft classes gathered here in mid-October for the 2008 World Wood Bat Association Fall Underclassmen Championship, and the powerful All-American Prospects defeated the New Jersey Super 17’s 5-0 in the final to win the 65-team event.

Of much more significance to the large number of college recruiters watching the four days of action in Fort Myers was the level of talent of the individual players, which was predictably very high.

A few years ago, a large national tournament of the order of the WWBA Underclass Championship that featured high school juniors and sophomores, would bring together a huge collection of previously undiscovered talent. For many of the college coaches and scouts who attended this year’s WWBA underclass event, this may still have been true, but most of the top names in the 2010 and 2011 classes—and even the 2012 class—were already on the Perfect Game radar.

We’ve already gone on record as saying the 2010 high school class could be one of the strongest in years, and the top prospect at the WWBA Underclass could have been one of three players: righthander A.J. Cole (Winter Springs, Fla.), righthander/shortstop Yordy Cabrera (Lakeland, Fla.) or third baseman/righthander Kaleb Cowart (Adel, Ga)—all projected first-rounders in 2010.

Cole was flawless in six innings of work over two games, striking out 11 while allowing only one hit. The highly-projectable, 6-foot-5, 190-pound Florida native’s fastball rarely dropped below 91 mph and he controlled the strike zone well.

Cabrera, who shared MVP honors while leading the All-American Prospects to the title, and Cowart are legit high-draft prospects as both position players and pitchers. They showed their tools on both sides of the ball in Fort Myers. Fortunately, scouts will have at least another 20 months to determine what positions the two will play at the pro level—though strong two-way support existed right to the end for three first-round picks in the 2008 draft, Aaron Hicks (Twins), Ethan Martin (Dodgers) and Casey Kelly (Red Sox).

The top 2011 prospect in attendance at the WWBA tournament definitely was in a class of his own, and it may be only a matter of time before righthander Dillon Howard (Searcy, Ark.) surpasses the trio of top 2010 prospects. Howard still needs to work on his command and composure on the mound, something that will come with experience, but he has a special arm that enables him to already sit between 93-95 mph with surprising life on his fastball.

Normally, the most talented 2012 prospect would be somewhat overmatched playing with the top 2010 players in the country, but 6-foot-6, 230-pound Tucker Simpson (Oxford, Ala.), a righthander-first baseman, won a game with a two-run homer while registering a win and save on the mound. He pitched seven scoreless innings, throwing in the 84-87 mph range.

Perfect Game Crosschecker will be publishing a much deeper list of the top prospects from the WWBA Underclassmen Championship in November, and all evaluations will be incorporated into the class rankings for 2010, 2011 and 2012, but here’s a quick look at the top 10 prospects overall.
Rank Player Pos. Class Ht. Wt. High School Hometown
1. A.J. Cole RHP 2010 6-5 190 Oviedo Winter Springs, Fla.
His 92- 93 mph fastball comes easily and there is plenty more there once he starts filling out his slender frame.
2. Yordy Cabrera SS/RHP 2010 6-3 185 Lakeland Lakeland, Fla.
He’s a steady 90-92 with plus pitchability on the mound, yet Cabrera is a better position prospect. That tells you something!
3. Kaleb Cowart RHP/3B 2010 6-3 190 Cook County Adel, Ga.
Cowart may have better stuff on the mound than Cabrera, but isn’t quite as athletic in the field or with the bat; admittedly, a narrow high-end distinction that could be reversed.
4. Dillon Howard RHP 2011 6-2 205 Searcy Searcy, Ark.
The curveball and command understandably need work, given his age, but he exudes very easy arm strength.
5. Connor Narron SS 2010 6-3 175 Charles B. Aycock Goldsboro, N.C.
Narron’s defense stood out as much as his powerful switch-hitting skills, a good sign for the future.
6. Casey Mulholland RHP 2010 6-3 180 Pendleton School Bradenton, Fla.
Mulholland throws 90 mph, with command, about as easily as you can throw that hard, and his athleticism means there’s plenty more velocity there.
7. Trey Griffin OF 2010 6-4 200 Heritage HS Stockbridge, Ga.
Griffin is looking more and more like a young Jason Heyward physically, but the righthanded hitter needs to play more OF than 1B to peak his value.
8. Francisco Lindor SS 2011 5-10 155 Montverde Academy Clermont, Fla.
The surprise prospect of the event, this 14-year-old Puerto Rican native is a switch-hitter with big power in his bat and flashy defensive tools.
9. Nick Castellanos 3B 2010 6-4 190 Archbishop McCarthy Miami
The co-MVP of the WWBA event along with Cabrera, Castellanos has big-time power and a polished approach at the plate for his age.
10. Matt Dean SS 2011 6-2 185 The Colony Highland Village, Texas
Dean has the easy athleticism and lightness on his feet that make you believe he can stay at shortstop as he gets older, a big plus with his bat.
2008 WWBA Underclass Top 10
BY ALLAN SIMPSON
Tuesday October 21, 2008


By exiting quietly from this year’s National League division playoffs, the Chicago Cubs may have missed their best shot yet at shedding their inglorious, century-old tag as the most futile team in baseball history—if not all of professional sports.

But the Cubs hardly have a track record synonymous with losing quite like the Philadelphia Phillies and Tampa Bay Rays, this year’s World Series participants who may be baseball’s real Lovable Losers. While the Cubs missed a golden opportunity to win their first Fall Classic in 100 years, the Phillies and Rays have a history of losing that runs so deep that it makes the Cubs’ ineptitude through the years seem mild by comparison.

The Phillies have won just one World Series in their 126-year history—in 1980. They are the only major league franchise to lose more than 10,000 games over their lifetime. Over a 31-year stretch from 1918-48, the Phillies had a winning record once (two games over .500 in 1932). They even sandwiched their last World Series appearance in 1993 between six straight losing seasons leading up to it and seven more right after.

Tampa Bay’s futility began with its entry into the American League East in 1998 and continued through the next 10 seasons. The Rays finished last nine times in their first decade of existence, and were a mere three games out of the cellar in their only tangible sign of on-field improvement. In each of the last two years, Tampa Bay has been awarded the No. 1 pick in the June draft—the only team ever to earn such selections in consecutive years. No other franchise, expansion or otherwise, has been so inept in its first 10 years of existence.

So with all due apologies to the Cubs and their legion of fans, this year’s World Series, which opens Wednesday in St. Petersburg, is the ultimate match-up between the two biggest losers that our game has known.

But a Rays-Phillies Series could turn into a classic, if history is any indication. The 1991 World Series matched the Atlanta Braves and Minnesota Twins, two teams that had finished last in their respective divisions a year earlier. And yet the Braves-Twins World Series was one of the best, most exciting ever, with the Twins winning in extra innings in the seventh and deciding game.

The Rays also not only went from worst to first this season, but their 192-percentage point improvement from 2007 to 2008 ranks as the second greatest single-season swing ever for a team in the World Series. Only the 1946 Boston Red Sox, who went from 71 wins the previous year to 104 a year later as several of their star players returned from World War II and were restored to the lineup, showed a greater one-year improvement than Tamp Bay.

The accompanying Top 10 chart highlights the World Series participants that have recorded the greatest one-year improvement. The year the team appeared in the Series is noted (along with its record), as well as the team’s record a year earlier and the percentage improvement overall.

Of note, the 1919 Chicago White Sox of Black Sox Scandal fame made the list. But the 1969 Miracle Mets didn’t crack the top 10 as their sudden rise to World Series champions represented only the 11th greatest one-season turnaround.

Rank Team (League) Current Record Previous Record Improvement
1. Boston (AL) 1946 104-50 (.675) 1945 71-83 (.461) .214
2. Tampa Bay (AL) 2008 97-65 (.599) 2007 66-96 (.407) .192
3. *Boston (AL) 1912 105-47 (.691) 1911 78-75 (.510) .181
4. Atlanta (NL) 1991 94-68 (.580) 1990 65-97 (.401) .179
5. *New York (NL) 1954 97-57 (.630) 1953 70-84 (.455) .175
6. Chicago (NL) 1918 84-45 (.651) 1917 74-80 (.481) .170
7. Chicago (AL) 1919 88-52 (.629) 1918 57-67 (.460) .169
  Detroit (AL) 1934 101-53 (.656) 1933 75-79 (.487) .169
  Cincinnati (NL) 1961 93-61 (.604) 1960 67-87 (.435) .169
10. Philadelphia (NL) 1993 97-65 (.599) 1992 70-92 (.432) .167
*Won World Series