There has been no shortage of draft-eligible
pitchers who throw unusually hard this year, especially an elite group of
college relievers. Assembling a list of the pitchers who have thrown at least
95 mph is a lot like compiling a Top 100 list, there are that many.
Of course, just determining who has thrown how hard is an inexact science. You
can talk to scouts, college coaches and people in the game you trust and you
get a reasonably accurate assessment. You can talk to players’ advisors, and
then as a matter of course you can subtract 1-2 mph across the board. You can
read stuff that a well-meaning dad or high school coach sends you, then
subtract 2-4 mph.
Seriously, information from advisors and parents doesn’t qualify for inclusion
on most of the scouting reports we write at Perfect Game. But I’ve been known
to apply that formula on occasion.
By lucky coincidence, our attempt to list all the pitchers we’re aware of who
have thrown 97 mph or above this spring (velocities from last summer don’t
count) yielded exactly 10 pitchers at 98 mph or above.
Being a top pitching prospect isn’t all about throwing hard, of course. Two
likely top 10 picks in this year’s draft are San Diego lefthander Brian Matusz
and Tulane righthander Shooter Hunt, neither of whom comes close to making the
hardest-thrower list. Neither do many of the high school arms considered
potential first-rounders.
The country’s hardest-throwing amateur, San Diego State sophomore righthander
Stephen Strasburg, sits in the upper-90s. I haven’t heard a credible report yet
on what he tops out at, but his ability to maintain that type of velocity
rather than just hit it once in a while is obviously noteworthy.
Here’s our list of the 10 hardest throwers in this year’s draft, their peak
velocity and a rough idea where they’ll be drafted. If you know of someone who
belongs on this list from what you have seen this spring, please feel free to
email me at rawnsleyd@aol.com.
But remember the formula above!
|
| Rank |
Player |
Pos. |
School |
Peak Velocity |
Projected Draft |
| 1 |
Andrew Cashner |
rhp |
Texas Christian |
100 mph |
1st round |
| 2 |
Tanner Scheppers |
rhp |
Fresno State |
99 mph |
1st/Supplemental |
| 3 |
Aaron Crow |
rhp |
Missouri |
98 mph |
1st round |
| |
*Eric Hosmer |
lhp |
HS—Planatation, Fla. |
98 mph |
1st round |
| |
Josh Fields |
rhp |
Georgia |
98 mph |
1st round |
| |
Gerrit Cole |
rhp |
HS—Orange, Calif. |
98 mph |
1st/Supplemental |
| |
Chris Carpenter |
rhp |
Kent State |
98 mph |
Supplemental/2nd |
| |
Josh Lindblom |
rhp |
Purdue |
98 mph |
Supplementa/2nd |
| |
Cody Satterwhite |
rhp |
Mississippi |
98 mph |
2nd/3rd |
| |
Brett Jacobson |
rhp |
Vanderbilt |
98 mph |
2nd/3rd |
|
| *Will be drafted as first baseman |
| --DAVID RAWNSLEY |
Top Ten List Archives |
|
|
As we close in on the 44th version of
baseball’s first-year player draft, scheduled for June 5-6, we thought it would
be a good opportunity to pause and look back at Draft No. 1—the one that got it
all started in 1965.
It was actually held in a big ballroom at New York’s Commodore Hotel, and
naturally there was much curiosity and speculation among a large delegationof
club officials, scouts and media gathered for several days leading up to the
event. No one was really sure what to expect, or even how to approach a
baseball draft. The Boston Red Sox ended up drafting just 20 players, the
Houston Astros 72.
While 13 of the 20 players drafted in the first round ended up reaching the big
leagues, clubs clearly missed the boat on a couple of future Hall of
Famers—Oklahoma high school catcher Johnny Bench, drafted in the second round
by the Cincinnati Reds, and Texas fireballing pitcher Nolan Ryan, who was
finally snapped up in the 10th round by the New York Mets. Bench was signed to
a bonus of $6,000, Ryan for $12,000. A third future Hall of Famer was also
drafted in 1965, but University of New Hampshire catcher Carlton Fisk rejected
a 19th-round offer from the Baltimore Orioles.
The Kansas City A’s led off the proceedings by selecting 19-year-old outfielder
Rick Monday, who had played only one year of varsity baseball at Arizona State
at a time when freshmen were ineligible to compete in varsity athletics and
college sophomores were eligible to be drafted. Four days after he was drafted,
with A’s owner Charles O. Finley in the stands, Monday homered in a 2-1 win
over Ohio State to lead the Sun Devils to their first College World Series
championship. Monday would sign the largest bonus in the 1965 draft, $100,000,
and went on to enjoy a productive 19-year big league career. He remains in the
game as a broadcaster for the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Some of the players drafted immediately after Monday weren’t so fortunate. The
Mets picked lefthander Les Rohr, a player born in England and raised in
Montana, with the second pick and he won just two games in a brief big-league
career.
The Washington Senators, picking third, took Massachusetts high school pitcher
Joe Coleman and actually promoted him to the big leagues in the same season.
Lefthander Ken Holtzman, selected in the fourth round out of the University of
Illinois by the Chicago Cubs, holds the distinction, however, of being the
first drafted player to reach the top. Coleman, whose father Joe also pitched
in the big leagues, will be in the news again this year as his son Casey, a
junior righthander at Florida Gulf Coast, will be drafted—possibly on the first
day (top five rounds).
With the fifth pick, the Red Sox sought to replicate the success of their
20-year-old phenom, Tony Conigliaro, who was in the process of becoming the
youngest player ever to lead one of the major leagues in home runs. Boston took
Conigliaro’s younger brother Billy, an outfielder from a local high school, but
his career flamed out after five big league seasons.
The Los Angeles Dodgers drafted California high school shortstop John Wyatt
with the eighth pick. Not only did Wyatt’s career fall far short of
expectations, peaking in Class A, but he was later busted for being the leader
of a cocaine distribution ring. Oddly, the Dodgers paid Wyatt a bonus of
$40,000 and gave their second-round pick, California prep righthander Alan
Foster, a $95,000 bonus—the second largest bonus in the draft after Monday.
The Minnesota Twins selected University of Arizona shortstop Eddie Leon with
the ninth overall pick, but failed to sign him—marking the first of seven
occasions through the years that the Twins didn’t sign their first-round pick.
A year after the Los Angeles Angels signed University of Wisconsin outfielder
Rick Reichardt to a record $205,000 bonus, prompting the adoption of a draft to
curb escalating signing bonuses, the St. Louis Cardinals signed their
first-round pick in 1965, Delta State (Miss.) lefthander Joe DiFabio, for just
$16,000.
Here’s a quick recap of the first 10 players drafted in 1965, their peak level
reached and their signing bonus.
|
| Rank |
Club |
Player |
Pos. |
School |
*Peak Level |
Signing Bonus |
| 1 |
A’s |
Rick Monday |
of |
Arizona State |
Majors (19) |
$100,000 |
| 2 |
Mets |
Les Rohr |
lhp |
HS—Billings, Mon. |
Majors (3) |
$50,000 |
| 3 |
Senators |
Joe Coleman |
rhp |
HS—Natick, Mass. |
Majors (15) |
$65,000 |
| 4 |
Astros |
Alex Barrett |
ss |
HS—Winton, Calif. |
Triple-A |
$40,000 |
| 5 |
Red Sox |
Billy Conigliaro |
of |
HS—Swampscott, Mass. |
Majors (5) |
$62,500 |
| 6 |
Cubs |
Rick James |
rhp |
HS—Florence, Ala. |
Majors (1) |
$40,000 |
| 7 |
Indians |
Ray Fosse |
c |
HS—Marion, Ill. |
Majors (13) |
$28,000 |
| 8 |
Dodgers |
John Wyatt |
ss |
HS—Bakersfield, Calif. |
Class A |
$40,000 |
| 9 |
Twins |
Eddie Leon |
ss |
Arizona |
Majors (7) |
Did not sign |
| 10 |
Pirates |
Doug Dickerson |
of |
HS—Birmingham, Ala. |
Class A |
$25,000 |
|
| *Number of major league seasons played noted in
parentheses |
| --ALLAN SIMPSON |
Top Ten List Archives |
|
|